OK, we got a winner!! I had the 49ers +2.5 over the hapless NY Giants and the Niners came through to get their first win. Woo Hoo!!! I am now 6-3 on the season! Let's keep it going this week with another win. Or two?
One win is going to come from the Kansas City Chiefs, who this week take on those same hapless Giants, this time playing at home in New York. Now Kansas City is giving up 10.5 points, which seems like an awful lot to give up for a road team, but there is a method to my madness.
Kansas City has lost three of its last four games, and is coming off a bye. I feel like they will be highly motivated to get back on the winning track as they head for the playoffs. They have had an extra week to prepare, and Andy Reid has the best record among active NFL coaches coming off of a bye week. The Chiefs are going to want to not only win, but dominate the Giants. That should actually be pretty easy to do.
The Giants look dead and lifeless. Right now, they are as painful to watch as a school bus fire with your own kids in the bus. I don't look for them to win another game this year, unless one of their opponents decides to throw 6 interceptions or do something equally stupid. 10.5 points is not too much to give in this case, I would still take the Chiefs even at 14.5. The Giants do not have either the players, the coaching talent, or the overall team attitude to even keep this game close.
Take the Chiefs and lay the points.
Another game that I'm going to recommend you play is the Detroit Lions at the Chicago Bears. The Bears are home underdogs in this one, getting 3 or 3.5 points depending on the book.
I always like home underdogs against division rivals, they have a knack of winning outright if not just covering. I feel that the Lions are actually a bit of a fraud, and are being overrated by both the bookies and the betting public. Chicago is 4-0 ATS as a home underdog this season, while the Lions are 1 - 2 in division games. I am going to bet the Bears on the moneyline at +130 as I expect them to win outright.
Good luck everybody.