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NFL week 2 Underdog pick of the week

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We have four home underdogs to look at this week. And I don't like any of them. Still, from a statistical point of view, at least one of these underdogs should cover if not win outright. Here are my thoughts on each game.

The Jaguars are a 1 point underdog at home versus the Patriots. I like the Jags to win here, but I'm not betting against the Patriots unless I get at least 3.5 points. Especially since Gronk is back in a big way. Lay off this game.

The Buccaneers are 3 point home underdogs versus the Eagles. I like Philly to win here, mostly because of their defense. I just find it hard to bet on them when you don't know what kind of quarterback play they're going to get from week to week.

Just like in the Eagles opener, I look for this game to be low scoring and fairly close. If you really want to bet it, take the under 44.

In Tennessee, the Texans are favored by 3.5 over a Titans team that is already having major injury issues in just week 2. Marcus Mariota had trouble gripping the ball in week 1, and those problems will probably still continue here. This makes it impossible for me to take the Titans and the points. Lay off this game too.

Finally, here is the game I feel the most confident about. The Bills are 7.5 point home dogs versus the Chargers. This game is worth betting on, but not on the dog!

The Bills got hammered by the Ravens in week 1. Then the Ravens got beat by the Cincinnati Bengals in week 2. (BTW I think the Bengals might be the real deal this year.)

So jusy how bad does that make the Bills? Bad. Oh and they have now announced a switch at QB to rookie Josh Allen, making his first NFL start.

If Allen was really any good, he would have been the starter in week 1. But this is their home opener, so the crowd should be into it. Still......

The Chargers lost by 10 at home to division rival Kansas City. Now San Diego, sorry I meant LA, has to go all the way across country for, what for them is, a 10 a.m. start. The Bills are so bad I don't think it's going to matter. LA needs a win here to avoid going 0-2.  If the Bills defense couldn't slow down Joe Flacco, how will they do against Philip Rivers? Take LA -7.5.

So that's it, there is no real Underdog pick of the week, but two high-confidence recommendations.

Good luck, everybody.

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