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Showing posts from November, 2017

Betting parlays and round robins and more on home dogs

ln  the last post I introduced you to the concept of betting on home team underdogs, which can be very profitable for the amateur handicapper. I listed three real world examples in games that are taking place this week. Let's take a closer look at each game and how I think they should be played. The home dogs this week are the Bills +9 versus the Patriots, the Cardinals +6 versus the Rams and on Monday night the Bengals +7 vs the Steelers. The first thing I always like to do is look at the record of both teams against the spread in several different scenarios throughout the current season. This season, against the spread in the home dog scenario, Buffalo is 1-1,  Arizona is 2-1-1 and the Cincinnati Bengals have not played a game yet as a home dog.  Not a lot to chew on there, so to speak, but we still have to look at the visiting team record as a favorite on the road. Los Angeles is 1-1, New England is 3-1, and Pittsburgh is 2-3. Now I like to look at all of the teams record aga
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Home dogs - a winning opportunity?

One of the things a skilled handicapper should be on the lookout for is the home team  underdog. Especially when it's a division opponent. These games are automatic rivalries with a healthy portion of ill will usually thrown in. At this point in the season, the home dog is usually playing sub .500 ball and the favored team is usually headed for the playoffs. The home dog is motivated  by pride and/or professionalism to prove that they are better than their record indicates. And what better way to prove that than by kicking the ass of the division leader? So this week, we have some real doozies when it comes to games with home team underdogs facing a division opponent. Here is my analysis. Sunday starts with the Bills getting 9 points at home against the Patriots, who are tied with the Steelers for the best record in the conference. In a late game, the Cardinals are getting 7 points at home against the division-leading Rams. The week concludes with the Monday night game featuring
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