One of the things a skilled handicapper should be on the lookout for is the home team underdog. Especially when it's a division opponent. These games are automatic rivalries with a healthy portion of ill will usually thrown in.
At this point in the season, the home dog is usually playing sub .500 ball and the favored team is usually headed for the playoffs. The home dog is motivated by pride and/or professionalism to prove that they are better than their record indicates. And what better way to prove that than by kicking the ass of the division leader?
So this week, we have some real doozies when it comes to games with home team underdogs facing a division opponent. Here is my analysis.
Sunday starts with the Bills getting 9 points at home against the Patriots, who are tied with the Steelers for the best record in the conference. In a late game, the Cardinals are getting 7 points at home against the division-leading Rams. The week concludes with the Monday night game featuring the Bengals getting 6 points at home against those Steelers.
All three of these home dogs probably need to win out to have a shot at a wild card slot. The favorites need to keep winning to improve or maintain their playoff seeding.
So, how should you bet these 3 games? Read my next blog post on Friday and I'll tell you!
Until then, good luck everybody.
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