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Stay tuned for an important announcement about a new direction for this Blog. I've been a little under the weather, so it's being rolled out a little slowly, sorry. More info soon!

My NFL Week 4 POTW is sponsored by my friends at Sportsbooks.ag. Check out their welcome bonus, where they match your deposit up to 50% on the first $1000, by clicking here .  My pick of the week is the Chicago Bears, giving up 3 points at home to the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. Here is my analysis: Defense (and the turnovers created by it) wins football games. It's that simple. And Chicago, with the addition of Khalil Mack, might turn out to have one of the best defenses ever. They apply pressure to the quarterback, get sacks and create turnovers (8 takeaways and a league-best 14 sacks so far). Tampa Bay's QB Ryan Fitzpatrick has been great so far this year, but he has turned the ball over a lot in his career. Look for him to throw multiple picks in the first half this week, just like last week , and get replaced by Jameis Winston mid game. It won' matter. On offense, Chicago QB Mitch Trubisky has been criticized for only throwing underneath and not stretching the field. T...

My week 4 college football pick of the week (POTW) is sponsored by online betting site Sportsbetting.ag. For those of you who don't have access to a local Sportsbook, and/or aren't already using an online app to make bets, check them out by clicking here .  Don't forget to check out their Welcome Bonus,  where they match your deposit up to 50% on the first $1000! For today's pick of the week we go back to the Michigan Wolverines, who we won on in week 2  This week they are 18 point favorites at home against the Nebraska Cornhuskers. Here is my analysis and pick: Michigan has rebounded nicely from a season-opening loss to Notre Dame, getting blowout wins each of the last two weeks. The pressure is still on head coach Jim Harbaugh to compete for the Big Ten title this year, and they really need to win this game to get off to a good start in league play. Nebraska had the worst defense in the Big Ten last season (436 Avg. yards allowed per game) and they don't appear...

My NFL 3 team parlay of the week is sponsored this week by Amazon Prime.  You can get a free 30 day trial by clicking here . Here are the three night games of the week and the 3 team parlay I think you should invest a few bucks on. TNF: Jets at Browns (-3).  The Browns, at 0-1-1, are off to their best start in years. They would have won last week had their kicker not missed both a PAT and a makeable field goal in the closing minutes. Since the start of the 2016 season, the Jets are 4-9-1 (30.8%) ATS as a road underdog, failing to cover by an average of 9.8 points per game. Jets rookie QB Sam Darnold is off to a great start, but I think he might be due for a let down here, especially on a short week.  After 2 near wins in weeks 1 and 2, the Browns get it done here and cover. Take the Browns -3. SNF Patriots at Lions (+6.5). Everybody knows the stats. Since 2003 the Patriots are 38-13 ATS  after a loss, covering the spread by an average of 7.7 points per ga...

Well, another week of poor results. In week 3 college football, I lost on Ohio State, who won 40-28 over TCU, failing to cover the 13.5 point  spread. That makes me 2-1 on the CFB season. In NFL action I also sucked ass, losing my POTW as the 49ers failed to cover the 5.5 point number, winning 30-27. The makes my POTW 0-2. My Three Team Parlay did slightly better. The Ravens lost by 11 on a pick'em game, the Cowboys won and covered, 20-13 and the Bears covered, beating the Seahawks 24-17. Two out of three ain't bad, but I don't count this a win unless all three win.  So I am 0-2 on parlays. I didn't have an Underdog POTW, so I am still 0-1 on those. At least I have plenty of room for improvement in. I'll have my three team parlay picks posted by Thursday morning. Look for some big winners next week. And heres your reminder that you can get a free 30 day trial of Amazon Prime by clicking  here .  Good luck everybody.

Before I begin I want to highlight our new sponsor, an online sportsbook, Sportsbetting.ag. They offer a great sign up bonus. Check them out by clicking here .  Now on with the show. We have four home underdogs to look at this week. And I don't like any of them. Still, from a statistical point of view, at least one of these underdogs should cover if not win outright. Here are my thoughts on each game. The Jaguars are a 1 point underdog at home versus the Patriots. I like the Jags to win here, but I'm not betting against the Patriots unless I get at least 3.5 points. Especially since Gronk is back in a big way. Lay off this game . The Buccaneers are 3 point home underdogs versus the Eagles. I like Philly to win here, mostly because of their defense. I just find it hard to bet on them when you don't know what kind of quarterback play they're going to get from week to week. Just like in the Eagles opener, I look for this game to be low scoring and fairly close. If you ...

I am proud to announce that I now have a sponsorship deal with an online betting service named Sportsbetting.ag. I have checked them out and they are totally legit. For those of you who don't have access to a Sportsbook, or aren't using an online app to make bets, you might consider checking them out by clicking here . 

As we begin, here is a reminder that you can get a free 30 day trial of Amazon Prime by clicking  here .  My five-star pick of the week this week, is the San Francisco 49ers - 5.5 at home against the Detroit Lions. Here is my analysis. Janeane Garofalo, sorry I meant Jimmy Garoppolo, finally lost a game as a starter in the NFL, as the 49ers lost 24-16 to the Minnesota Vikings last week in Minnesota. This week is the 49ers home opener and they are looking to get on the winning track. The Vikings defense is one of the best in the game, which is why the 49ers had trouble scoring points. They are not going to have that problem this Sunday. The Lions are a hot mess. They got the score run up on them, at their home opener, by the Jets, of all teams, with a rookie QB starting his first NFL game, who also threw a pick-six on his very first pass attempt. After that play, the Jets outscored the Lions 48-10, with Matt Stafford throwing five interceptions of his own. There is n...

ItBefore I begin I want to remind everyone of my new sponsor, Sportsbetting.ag.  Check them out by clicking here .  Here is my three team parlay for the week, based on all the night games. TNF - Baltimore Ravens at Cincinnati Bengals (pk). Last week the Bengals used an opportunistic defense and turnovers to come from behind and beat the Colts in Indy. Meanwhile the Ravens crushed the bills 47 - 3 for their third highest margin of victory in franchise history. They  are 5-2 against the spread in their last seven games in September, and look to have one of the best defenses in the AFC. I feel like they should be favored by at least three points here, so getting them at pick'em is good value. Take the Ravens to win. SNF - NY Giants at Dallas Cowboys (-3). The Giants failed to cover last week as home underdogs. Now they go on the road to take on a Dallas team that's having trouble scoring points. The Cowboys lost to Carolina 16-8 in a game that was not really that clos...

Okay here it is, my first 5-star free NFL pick of the week, for the season.  My pick is the Green Bay Packers - 7 at home versus the Chicago Bears. I also picked the Packers in my free 3 team parlay for this week, and normally I would not double up and choose them here. however, there really isn't another game on the schedule in week one that I like this more than this one, so I'm betting it.  Here is my analysis. You might think Chicago will be on a roll having just picked up Khalil Mack in a blockbuster trade, and that that might give them an advantage against Green Bay. Media sources however, say that Mack will be on a "pitch count", and only play 20 to 25 snaps, so he might not make that much of a difference. Chicago has a good defense, even without him, but I think it's being overrated by the betting public. This game opened at - 8, but is down to a seven point spread as of Saturday morning. Green Bay, meanwhile, is coming off a 7-9 season where they failed t...

Well I hope everyone was on the UNLV Rebels yesterday, as my first pick of the CFB year came in a winner. I had UNLV + 26. 5 on the road at USC. The final score of the game was 43-21, with USC winning but failing to cover, just as I predicted. The betting opened with USC favored by 31 points. By kickoff the number had dropped to 24. 5. So obviously there was a lot of money coming in on the Rebels, who actually had an early lead and only lost when USC pulled away in the fourth quarter. The game was much closer than its final score would indicate. So let me tell you how this is going to work, as far as my free picks go, throughout the season. I will give out one free pick on the college side each week, hopefully it will be ready by Thurssday of each week at the latest. I'm going to do something a little different with pro football this year. I will still have my "5-star Pick of the Week" every week, and usually have that posted on or before Friday. This pick may be on th...

Well it's finally here. This week marks the opening of the college football season for 2018. Let's get things off on the right foot with a win. Being on the West Coast I spent a lot of time watching Pac-12 football, and I also watch a lot of the Mountain West, as I live in Reno. So my pic this week involves teams from each conference, USC vs UNLV.  This game opened with USC favored by 31 points, the number is down to 26.5 as I write this on Thursday morning. Good for you if you got it at 31 points because I think the Running Rebels are going to cover. Here is my analysis: The Trojans have the firepower to win the game out right, no serious doubt about that. However they had to replace  some key people on offense due to graduations and they are starting a true freshman at quarterback. Also they might be looking ahead to next week, where they have a huge early-season Pac-12 showdown with Stanford.  UNLV, meanwhile, would love to get off to a good start this year against a ...

In yet another attempt to to monetize my blog, I am now selling sponsorships for you to advertise anything gaming-related on this site. Books, websites, apps, articles or whatever, as long as it has to do with casino gambling I will advertise it for you here,  and for a very reasonable rate. For those of you unfamiliar with my blog, I can tell you a little about it. I've been blogging on Blogger for almost 2 years. I am up to over 3, 000 page views a month, which I know isn't a lot in the grand scheme of things, however my blog is very targeted.   All of the people that read this blog are interested in the casino industry as a whole, and specifically the following things:  Casino surveillance, Casino gaming and it's management, blackjack (basic strategy and  advantage play), craps and other table games, slot machines, sports betting, loss prevention, CCTV technology, the philosophy and training of surveillance personnel, and security and surveillance response ...

My week 3 NFL pick of the week is sponsored by online betting site Sportsbetting.ag. For those of you who don't have access to a Sportsbook, or aren't already using an online app to make bets, check them out by clicking here .  Don't forget to check out their Welcome bonus,  where they match your deposit up to 50% on the first $1000! My five star pick of the week this week is the Tampa Bay Buccaneers at home, on Monday night, now giving up 1.5 points against the Pittsburgh Steelers. When I first posted this earlier in the week they were getting 1.5 points, so the line has changed considerably as money comes in on Tampa Bay. Here is my analysis: This is the Steelers first game on the road this year, and they are still without star running back Le'Veon Bell. The word is that Bells holdout has divided the locker room into different camps and the Steelers are suffering on the field as a result. Pittsburgh was upset at home last week by the impressive Kansas City Chiefs,...

As summer turns to fall, a young man's fancy turns to football. And Old Men too, BTW. So let's talk about the upcoming pro and college football seasons and get ready to try and make some money. My first rule about pro football, is to not ever bet on preseason games. Preseason football is not real football. It's really just a glorified scrimmage and mostly used by teams to evaluate incoming players, whether they be free agent signings or draft picks. They also want to evaluate the players that are carried over from the previous year and compare them to the newcomers. The first string players rarely play more than just the first quarter or two, and then spend the rest of the time on the bench not getting injured All this should not come as a shock to anyone. So don't ever bet on preseason football, OK? That's not to say that the preseason is not an important time of the year. I like to pick out several teams that I'm going to keep a very close eye on througho...

Okay so you may have heard recently that the Supreme Court decided to let individual states determine whether or not they wanted to allow legalized, regulated sports betting, weather in a casino or some other retail establishment. I've been asked recently a how I think this will affect the Nevada bookmakers. Here is my analysis. I don't think it's going to have much of an effect Nevada books. The only people that it will have a real effect on, in my opinion, are illegal Sports books and bookies, which are most prevalent on the East Coast. I think it will affect them a great deal, but most of their customers we're not flying to Nevada to make Sports bets already, so instead they'll just stop using me legal bookies and go to the new legalized Sports books. Another thing to consider is that most casinos in Nevada, both big and small ones, have stopped operating Sports books already and if just leased the space out to a company called William Hill. William Hill is a ...