Skip to main content

NFL Week 1 five-star free pick.

Okay here it is, my first 5-star free NFL pick of the week, for the season.  My pick is the Green Bay Packers - 7 at home versus the Chicago Bears. I also picked the Packers in my free 3 team parlay for this week, and normally I would not double up and choose them here. however, there really isn't another game on the schedule in week one that I like this more than this one, so I'm betting it.  Here is my analysis.

You might think Chicago will be on a roll having just picked up Khalil Mack in a blockbuster trade, and that that might give them an advantage against Green Bay. Media sources however, say that Mack will be on a "pitch count", and only play 20 to 25 snaps, so he might not make that much of a difference. Chicago has a good defense, even without him, but I think it's being overrated by the betting public. This game opened at - 8, but is down to a seven point spread as of Saturday morning.

Green Bay, meanwhile, is coming off a 7-9 season where they failed to make the playoffs, due to Aaron Rodgers being injured. They will be highly motivated to get off to a good start, especially at home. Green Bay is desperate to get to another Superbowl with Rogers. In his career, Rogers is 15 - 4 versus the Bears with over 40 touchdowns and only nine interceptions. If anyone knows how to beat the Bears it's Aaron Rodgers. Take the Packers - 7.


If you liked this post, and the information you get on this blog, please hit the Subscribe button, and then the share button, which will allow you to share this post on your favorite social media platform. You might also consider following me on Twitter, where my handle is @casinologger 

Click here to become a supporter of mine on Patreon.

And here is the link to my Amazon affiliate page and some  Good books about Casino gambling and surveillance. 

You can also get a free 30 day trial of Amazon Prime by clicking here. 

Finally, I also sell advertising sponsorships on this blog through eBay. I can devote one or more blog post(s) to your product, service, website or anything else gaming-related. Click here to go to my eBay listing.

Labels:

Comments

Post a Comment

Popular posts from this blog

What's the surveillance room like? Repost

This is a repost of a post I made about a year ago, but I feel like it bares s repeating. Enjoy. I got another good question last week, from a reader wanting to know what a surveillance room is like, how it is laid out and how it is staffed and run.  So here goes. I have worked in surveillance departments at six different casinos in the last 25 years. Some very small (300 slots, 6 blackjack tables) and some very big (3000 slots, 60-70 table games of all kinds). When I started in the early 90's it was all VCRs and not all cameras were recorded all the time. We used a lot of "multi-plexers" and "quad screens". A multi-plexer used one VCR to display and record up to 16 screens on one monitor. Since the VCR still records at 30 frames per second, that meant that if you did a review on any one of those 16 screens you would be looking at a "freeze frame" effect, where you only got 1.8 frames per second of the shot you were looking at. A quad would record ...
119 comments
Read more

Hit and run gambling

This post is sponsored by Amazon Prime .  You can get a free 30 day trial of  by clicking  here .  And don't forget about my article, called " Sports Betting: Advanced middle techniques for college and pro football wagering ." It's all about a way to bet on sports with very little risk but high potential rewards. Click  here  to go to the eBay listing. It's only $4.99 plus fifty cents shipping.  Now on to this weeks topic.  I'm sure some of you invest in the stock market. Almost every one has a 401k if their employer offers it. Some off you  might even invest in individual stocks or a mutual fund in a private brokerage account.  So let me ask you what you would do if you got a hot tip from a friend about a tech stock, a "highly volatile" tech stock, that was poised to go through the roof. Maybe they're about to release a new app, and there are rumors that Google is going to buy them out. Maybe you've squirreled away some "mad money...
29 comments
Read more

Reader question.

OK well, I'm back to posting after about a 6 month. I absence. Sorry I was in and out of the hospital with a bunch of problems, but I'm all better now So i noticed that during my abs. Since I got a few questions from readers, I would like to answer one of them now. So the question is, how much money should you take with you to the casino? the answer is of course, if depends. If you happen to be one of the lucky people who live in a jurisdiction where legalize cambling is allowed. And it's a place that you go to to have fun or relax, Or just have some excitement in your life, then that will be a different amount that you will want to take with you as opposed to someone who is making a trip to Vegas that they make only once a year. And if you live Nevada, like I do and you go into casinos all the time, then that will be a different answer as well. As a general rule of thumb. I don't walk into a casino. Unless I have a $100 that I am willing to lose. If you don...
Post a Comment
Read more