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NFL Week 4 Three Team Parlay

This weeks NFL three team parlay is sponsored by Amazon Prime. If you're not watching Amazon Prime video already, you can click here to check it out for 30 days for free. 

Here are the night game match ups this week and my picks

TNF - Minnesota Vikings at Los Angeles Rams (-7). The Vikings got embarrassed last week by one of the worst teams in the league, the Buffalo Bills. They will be anxious to get that taste out of their mouth as soon as possible, so this game coming on a Thursday night is perfect for them. The Rams have injury problems in the defensive secondary, and will have 3 rookies on the field when in "nickle" coverage. This is a bad thing to have happen during a short week. Minnesota may not have enough to win, but should keep it close. Take the Vikings+7.

SNF- Baltimore Ravens at Pittsburgh Steelers (-3). Pittsburgh had an impressive first half last Monday against Tampa Bay, then held on in the  second half to win. Since the start of last year, the Steelers are just 2-5 ATS against division opponents. I think that trend continues here, as the Ravens defense will do a much better job this week than Tampa Bay did in the first half last week. Take the Ravens +3.

MNF - Kansas City Chiefs at Denver Broncos (+4.5). I've kind of painted myself into a corner with my first two picks.  I'm now forced to either pick three road teams or three underdogs, neither of which seems very appealing, at least not for a 3-team parlay. 

Kansas City is one of only three remaining undefeated teams, and this Monday they're favored on the road in Denver. I'm finding it tough to get a handle on this game, as recent ATS trends aren't convincing, one way or another. My knee-jerk reaction is to not bet against Denver at home on a primetime game. However, Kansas City is really looking good this year. I think 2nd year quarterback Patrick Mahomes is a huge upgrade from Alex Smith, at least that's how he's been playing up until now. Still, it's his first career start in Denver.  Hmmmm.......

When in doubt, take the points. Denver + 4.5.

Good luck everybody.

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