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Showing posts with the label free football picks

NFL 3 team parlay of the week for week 3

My NFL 3 team parlay of the week is sponsored this week by Amazon Prime.  You can get a free 30 day trial by clicking here . Here are the three night games of the week and the 3 team parlay I think you should invest a few bucks on. TNF: Jets at Browns (-3).  The Browns, at 0-1-1, are off to their best start in years. They would have won last week had their kicker not missed both a PAT and a makeable field goal in the closing minutes. Since the start of the 2016 season, the Jets are 4-9-1 (30.8%) ATS as a road underdog, failing to cover by an average of 9.8 points per game. Jets rookie QB Sam Darnold is off to a great start, but I think he might be due for a let down here, especially on a short week.  After 2 near wins in weeks 1 and 2, the Browns get it done here and cover. Take the Browns -3. SNF Patriots at Lions (+6.5). Everybody knows the stats. Since 2003 the Patriots are 38-13 ATS  after a loss, covering the spread by an average of 7.7 points per ga...

Week 3 CFB/week 2 NFL results

Well, another week of poor results. In week 3 college football, I lost on Ohio State, who won 40-28 over TCU, failing to cover the 13.5 point  spread. That makes me 2-1 on the CFB season. In NFL action I also sucked ass, losing my POTW as the 49ers failed to cover the 5.5 point number, winning 30-27. The makes my POTW 0-2. My Three Team Parlay did slightly better. The Ravens lost by 11 on a pick'em game, the Cowboys won and covered, 20-13 and the Bears covered, beating the Seahawks 24-17. Two out of three ain't bad, but I don't count this a win unless all three win.  So I am 0-2 on parlays. I didn't have an Underdog POTW, so I am still 0-1 on those. At least I have plenty of room for improvement in. I'll have my three team parlay picks posted by Thursday morning. Look for some big winners next week. And heres your reminder that you can get a free 30 day trial of Amazon Prime by clicking  here .  Good luck everybody.

NFL week 2 Underdog pick of the week

Before I begin I want to highlight our new sponsor, an online sportsbook, Sportsbetting.ag. They offer a great sign up bonus. Check them out by clicking here .  Now on with the show. We have four home underdogs to look at this week. And I don't like any of them. Still, from a statistical point of view, at least one of these underdogs should cover if not win outright. Here are my thoughts on each game. The Jaguars are a 1 point underdog at home versus the Patriots. I like the Jags to win here, but I'm not betting against the Patriots unless I get at least 3.5 points. Especially since Gronk is back in a big way. Lay off this game . The Buccaneers are 3 point home underdogs versus the Eagles. I like Philly to win here, mostly because of their defense. I just find it hard to bet on them when you don't know what kind of quarterback play they're going to get from week to week. Just like in the Eagles opener, I look for this game to be low scoring and fairly close. If you ...

Blackjack play update and notes on masking your play

Last night, after watching the Philadelphia Eagles/Atlanta Falcons penalty fest on Thursday Night Football, I was too amped up to sleep so I decided to go out and play some blackjack. I live in Sparks now, so instead of going to downtown Reno I just went to the nearby Western Village. I got a seat on first base at one of their $5 minimum, single-deck tables, and bought in with a c-note. I know a lot of card counters like to be the only one at the table, going "heads up" against the dealer. I actually find it easier to count cards at a full table. On a single deck game you're only going to get two hands before the dealer has to shuffle up again. As a result, after you've made your hit/stand decision on the second round, you no longer have to pay any attention to the cards coming out. Take that opportunity to look aimlessly around, ("casino gazing"). Also, the game pace is slower at a full table. thus giveing you even more opportunities to casino gaze, or B...

NFL Week 3 Five star POTW. Updated line.

My week 3 NFL pick of the week is sponsored by online betting site Sportsbetting.ag. For those of you who don't have access to a Sportsbook, or aren't already using an online app to make bets, check them out by clicking here .  Don't forget to check out their Welcome bonus,  where they match your deposit up to 50% on the first $1000! My five star pick of the week this week is the Tampa Bay Buccaneers at home, on Monday night, now giving up 1.5 points against the Pittsburgh Steelers. When I first posted this earlier in the week they were getting 1.5 points, so the line has changed considerably as money comes in on Tampa Bay. Here is my analysis: This is the Steelers first game on the road this year, and they are still without star running back Le'Veon Bell. The word is that Bells holdout has divided the locker room into different camps and the Steelers are suffering on the field as a result. Pittsburgh was upset at home last week by the impressive Kansas City Chiefs,...