My week 3 NFL pick of the week is sponsored by online betting site Sportsbetting.ag. For those of you who don't have access to a Sportsbook, or aren't already using an online app to make bets, check them out by clicking here. Don't forget to check out their Welcome bonus, where they match your deposit up to 50% on the first $1000!
My five star pick of the week this week is the Tampa Bay Buccaneers at home, on Monday night, now giving up 1.5 points against the Pittsburgh Steelers. When I first posted this earlier in the week they were getting 1.5 points, so the line has changed considerably as money comes in on Tampa Bay.
Here is my analysis:
This is the Steelers first game on the road this year, and they are still without star running back Le'Veon Bell. The word is that Bells holdout has divided the locker room into different camps and the Steelers are suffering on the field as a result.
Pittsburgh was upset at home last week by the impressive Kansas City Chiefs, who came within a defensive holding penalty of being up 28-0 before the end of the first quarter. The Chiefs had a bad case of fumble fingers in the last 5 minutes or the game wouldn't even have been as close as it was (42-37).
The Buccaneers beat the defending Champion Philadelphia Eagles 27-21 at home last week and their quarterback is on fire. In two games this season, Ryan Fitzpatrick has eight touchdown passes against only one interception and a passer rating of over 150. There is no way the Buccaneers should be home underdogs in this game, but here they are getting 1.5 points. I'm going to bet this one early, as the line may change considerably by kickoff. (Note: it has!)
But wait, there's more!
The over/under on this game is 53.5 points. You may be interested in knowing that the Steelers have gone Under the total in 22 of their last 28 road games (78.6%) over the last 3 seasons, covering those totals by an average of 5.6 PPG. I feel like the high total this week is an over reaction to last week's game, and the Steelers will return to form in a lower scoring game on the road here. Besides, even if he plays a great game, Fitzpatrick probably isn't going to throw four touchdowns for the third week in a row. And with the Steelers having trouble on offense I like the under here just as much as I like the Bucs getting points.
You can make each of these bets separately, or combine them into a parlay, or do all three like I'm going to do. For the record my actual pick of the week is Tampa Bay + 1.5. Good luck everybody.
If you liked this blog, please click subscribe/follow and share, which will allow you to share this post on your favorite social media platform. Please follow me on Twitter, where my handle is @casinologger and check out my tweets there.
You can have your item, product, article or website promoted on this blog. Click here to go to my eBay listing
You can also click here to become a supporter of mine on Patreon. I'm trying to branch out into podcast and video blogs and would really appreciate your help and contributions.
And finally, here is the link to my Amazon affiliate page and some good books about Casino gambling and surveillance, starting at just $8.99.
Comments
Post a Comment