Casino Surveillance Pro

My NFL Week 4 POTW is sponsored by my friends at Sportsbooks.ag. Check out their welcome bonus, where they match your deposit up to 50% on the first $1000, by clicking here .  My pick of the week is the Chicago Bears, giving up 3 points at home to the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. Here is my analysis: Defense (and the turnovers created by it) wins football games. It's that simple. And Chicago, with the addition of Khalil Mack, might turn out to have one of the best defenses ever. They apply pressure to the quarterback, get sacks and create turnovers (8 takeaways and a league-best 14 sacks so far). Tampa Bay's QB Ryan Fitzpatrick has been great so far this year, but he has turned the ball over a lot in his career. Look for him to throw multiple picks in the first half this week, just like last week , and get replaced by Jameis Winston mid game. It won' matter. On offense, Chicago QB Mitch Trubisky has been criticized for only throwing underneath and not stretching the field. T...

This weeks NFL three team parlay is sponsored by Amazon Prime. If you're not watching Amazon Prime video already, you can click  here  to check it out for 30 days for free.   Here are the night game match ups this week and my picks TNF - Minnesota Vikings at Los Angeles Rams (-7). The Vikings got embarrassed last week by one of the worst teams in the league, the Buffalo Bills. They will be anxious to get that taste out of their mouth as soon as possible, so this game coming on a Thursday night is perfect for them. The Rams have injury problems in the defensive secondary, and will have 3 rookies on the field when in "nickle" coverage. This is a bad thing to have happen during a short week. Minnesota may not have enough to win, but should keep it close. Take the Vikings+7 . SNF - Baltimore Ravens at Pittsburgh Steelers (-3). Pittsburgh had an impressive first half last Monday against Tampa Bay, then held on in the  second half to win. Since the start of last year, ...

This post is sponsored by my Amazon affiliate page, were you can click on this link to pick up some good  books about Casino gambling  and surveillance, starting at just $8.99, even less if you're a Kindle user. So week 3 is in the books, and my pick of the week again failed to come through for me. I had the Tampa Bay Buccaneers + 1.5 at home against the Steelers, and they lost 30-27 despite a late comeback effort. Lots of money came in on the Bucs over the week, who ended up being  1.5 point favorites, but I had recommended buying them earlier in the week when they were still dogs. It didn't even matter, however. This makes me an embarrassing 0-3 on the season with my POTW.  Ugh....... It's ok, I plan on finishing strong!  At least I'm doing well with my college picks (3-1 so far). And once again my 3 team parlay didn't fare so well. I had the Browns on TNF, and they won (and covered) for the first time in years! But the Pats and Bucs let me down. I didn't h...

Winner winner chicken dinner. I won again last Saturday, making my picks 3-1 on the college football season. Once again I backed the Michigan Wolverines giving up major points. This time they were taking on the Nebraska Cornhuskers at home and were favored by 18.5 points. They had that covered by the end of the first quarter enroute to a 56-10 ass kicking.  Be sure and check back in with me on Twitter (@casinologger) and in this blog next Friday for my next college football pick of the week. And don't spend your winnings all in one place. In the meantime you can go to my Amazon affiliate page and purchase some good  books about Casino gambling  and surveillance, starting at just $8.99.  Good luck everybody.

My week 4 college football pick of the week (POTW) is sponsored by online betting site Sportsbetting.ag. For those of you who don't have access to a local Sportsbook, and/or aren't already using an online app to make bets, check them out by clicking here .  Don't forget to check out their Welcome Bonus,  where they match your deposit up to 50% on the first $1000! For today's pick of the week we go back to the Michigan Wolverines, who we won on in week 2  This week they are 18 point favorites at home against the Nebraska Cornhuskers. Here is my analysis and pick: Michigan has rebounded nicely from a season-opening loss to Notre Dame, getting blowout wins each of the last two weeks. The pressure is still on head coach Jim Harbaugh to compete for the Big Ten title this year, and they really need to win this game to get off to a good start in league play. Nebraska had the worst defense in the Big Ten last season (436 Avg. yards allowed per game) and they don't appear...

My NFL 3 team parlay of the week is sponsored this week by Amazon Prime.  You can get a free 30 day trial by clicking here . Here are the three night games of the week and the 3 team parlay I think you should invest a few bucks on. TNF: Jets at Browns (-3).  The Browns, at 0-1-1, are off to their best start in years. They would have won last week had their kicker not missed both a PAT and a makeable field goal in the closing minutes. Since the start of the 2016 season, the Jets are 4-9-1 (30.8%) ATS as a road underdog, failing to cover by an average of 9.8 points per game. Jets rookie QB Sam Darnold is off to a great start, but I think he might be due for a let down here, especially on a short week.  After 2 near wins in weeks 1 and 2, the Browns get it done here and cover. Take the Browns -3. SNF Patriots at Lions (+6.5). Everybody knows the stats. Since 2003 the Patriots are 38-13 ATS  after a loss, covering the spread by an average of 7.7 points per ga...

I am proud to announce that I now have a sponsorship deal with an online betting service named Sportsbetting.ag. I have checked them out and they are totally legit. For those of you who don't have access to a Sportsbook, or aren't using an online app to make bets, you might consider checking them out by clicking here . 

As we begin, here is a reminder that you can get a free 30 day trial of Amazon Prime by clicking  here .  My five-star pick of the week this week, is the San Francisco 49ers - 5.5 at home against the Detroit Lions. Here is my analysis. Janeane Garofalo, sorry I meant Jimmy Garoppolo, finally lost a game as a starter in the NFL, as the 49ers lost 24-16 to the Minnesota Vikings last week in Minnesota. This week is the 49ers home opener and they are looking to get on the winning track. The Vikings defense is one of the best in the game, which is why the 49ers had trouble scoring points. They are not going to have that problem this Sunday. The Lions are a hot mess. They got the score run up on them, at their home opener, by the Jets, of all teams, with a rookie QB starting his first NFL game, who also threw a pick-six on his very first pass attempt. After that play, the Jets outscored the Lions 48-10, with Matt Stafford throwing five interceptions of his own. There is n...

ItBefore I begin I want to remind everyone of my new sponsor, Sportsbetting.ag.  Check them out by clicking here .  Here is my three team parlay for the week, based on all the night games. TNF - Baltimore Ravens at Cincinnati Bengals (pk). Last week the Bengals used an opportunistic defense and turnovers to come from behind and beat the Colts in Indy. Meanwhile the Ravens crushed the bills 47 - 3 for their third highest margin of victory in franchise history. They  are 5-2 against the spread in their last seven games in September, and look to have one of the best defenses in the AFC. I feel like they should be favored by at least three points here, so getting them at pick'em is good value. Take the Ravens to win. SNF - NY Giants at Dallas Cowboys (-3). The Giants failed to cover last week as home underdogs. Now they go on the road to take on a Dallas team that's having trouble scoring points. The Cowboys lost to Carolina 16-8 in a game that was not really that clos...

Okay here it is, my first 5-star free NFL pick of the week, for the season.  My pick is the Green Bay Packers - 7 at home versus the Chicago Bears. I also picked the Packers in my free 3 team parlay for this week, and normally I would not double up and choose them here. however, there really isn't another game on the schedule in week one that I like this more than this one, so I'm betting it.  Here is my analysis. You might think Chicago will be on a roll having just picked up Khalil Mack in a blockbuster trade, and that that might give them an advantage against Green Bay. Media sources however, say that Mack will be on a "pitch count", and only play 20 to 25 snaps, so he might not make that much of a difference. Chicago has a good defense, even without him, but I think it's being overrated by the betting public. This game opened at - 8, but is down to a seven point spread as of Saturday morning. Green Bay, meanwhile, is coming off a 7-9 season where they failed t...

Well I hope everyone was on the UNLV Rebels yesterday, as my first pick of the CFB year came in a winner. I had UNLV + 26. 5 on the road at USC. The final score of the game was 43-21, with USC winning but failing to cover, just as I predicted. The betting opened with USC favored by 31 points. By kickoff the number had dropped to 24. 5. So obviously there was a lot of money coming in on the Rebels, who actually had an early lead and only lost when USC pulled away in the fourth quarter. The game was much closer than its final score would indicate. So let me tell you how this is going to work, as far as my free picks go, throughout the season. I will give out one free pick on the college side each week, hopefully it will be ready by Thurssday of each week at the latest. I'm going to do something a little different with pro football this year. I will still have my "5-star Pick of the Week" every week, and usually have that posted on or before Friday. This pick may be on th...

My week 3 NFL pick of the week is sponsored by online betting site Sportsbetting.ag. For those of you who don't have access to a Sportsbook, or aren't already using an online app to make bets, check them out by clicking here .  Don't forget to check out their Welcome bonus,  where they match your deposit up to 50% on the first $1000! My five star pick of the week this week is the Tampa Bay Buccaneers at home, on Monday night, now giving up 1.5 points against the Pittsburgh Steelers. When I first posted this earlier in the week they were getting 1.5 points, so the line has changed considerably as money comes in on Tampa Bay. Here is my analysis: This is the Steelers first game on the road this year, and they are still without star running back Le'Veon Bell. The word is that Bells holdout has divided the locker room into different camps and the Steelers are suffering on the field as a result. Pittsburgh was upset at home last week by the impressive Kansas City Chiefs,...

As summer turns to fall, a young man's fancy turns to football. And Old Men too, BTW. So let's talk about the upcoming pro and college football seasons and get ready to try and make some money. My first rule about pro football, is to not ever bet on preseason games. Preseason football is not real football. It's really just a glorified scrimmage and mostly used by teams to evaluate incoming players, whether they be free agent signings or draft picks. They also want to evaluate the players that are carried over from the previous year and compare them to the newcomers. The first string players rarely play more than just the first quarter or two, and then spend the rest of the time on the bench not getting injured All this should not come as a shock to anyone. So don't ever bet on preseason football, OK? That's not to say that the preseason is not an important time of the year. I like to pick out several teams that I'm going to keep a very close eye on througho...

Hieverybody, I've been making some changes to my living conditions, and no longer live in the city of Reno. I've moved down to Yerington Nevada, which is about 90 miles to the south of Reno. It's a fun little town about 3,000 people, kind of in the middle of nowhere. Anyway I'll be posting new content very soon. In the meantime I am happy to announce that we have our first sponsorship deal. It is a benefits and frequent buyer program called Zoombenefits. They offer discounts on cell phone service and other stuff too. And you stuff is being added all the time. To check out the sponsorship deal text my code, CAR6673, to 385-213-3225. At least give it a look, you will be helping to support the content that is provided on this channel. Thanks everybody, more posting about casino gambling real soon.

ln  the last post I introduced you to the concept of betting on home team underdogs, which can be very profitable for the amateur handicapper. I listed three real world examples in games that are taking place this week. Let's take a closer look at each game and how I think they should be played. The home dogs this week are the Bills +9 versus the Patriots, the Cardinals +6 versus the Rams and on Monday night the Bengals +7 vs the Steelers. The first thing I always like to do is look at the record of both teams against the spread in several different scenarios throughout the current season. This season, against the spread in the home dog scenario, Buffalo is 1-1,  Arizona is 2-1-1 and the Cincinnati Bengals have not played a game yet as a home dog.  Not a lot to chew on there, so to speak, but we still have to look at the visiting team record as a favorite on the road. Los Angeles is 1-1, New England is 3-1, and Pittsburgh is 2-3. Now I like to look at all of the teams ...

One of the things a skilled handicapper should be on the lookout for is the home team  underdog. Especially when it's a division opponent. These games are automatic rivalries with a healthy portion of ill will usually thrown in. At this point in the season, the home dog is usually playing sub .500 ball and the favored team is usually headed for the playoffs. The home dog is motivated  by pride and/or professionalism to prove that they are better than their record indicates. And what better way to prove that than by kicking the ass of the division leader? So this week, we have some real doozies when it comes to games with home team underdogs facing a division opponent. Here is my analysis. Sunday starts with the Bills getting 9 points at home against the Patriots, who are tied with the Steelers for the best record in the conference. In a late game, the Cardinals are getting 7 points at home against the division-leading Rams. The week concludes with the Monday night game feat...

Okay, I've had a lot of people ask me what is the secret to my success. I'm off to a 5 and 0 start this year in NFL free picks, and this is not the first year that I've had pretty good success against the bookmakers. And by the way, every free pic that I release is a pic that I made a play on myself. I put my money where my mouth is. I've had several people ask me if I'm using some kind of a system, in the answer to that is no. What I'm using is called common sense. Let me explain. There are certain conditions in which I feel the betting line posted by oddsmakers gets distorted because of various factors. I like to identify where those conditions exist, and how they may have affected the line. Having done that I like to make plays where I feel there is a better than usual value to the pic that you make, whether you were laying points are getting points. When I take a favorite I like to play games where the line is "cheap", or where the favorite is n...