Dice setting follow up

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I want to tell you an old joke that I think might have some perspective to how people approach the game of craps and dice setting.

The joke goes like this. A guy goes to visit an old college roommate of his. The roommate lives down in the south. He brags to all his old friends about how fast his car is, and how he and his brother are both in to stock car racing, how they build fast cars and go racing, all that kind of stuff. He says that he and his brother both have fast muscle cars that they race all over town, "Dukes of Hazzard" style.

So the guy gets picked up at the airport by his buddy, and driven back to his hometown which is about 25 miles away. First thing the guy does when they get into town is blow through a red light. And blow through it at about 60 miles an hour. The guy doesn't even slow down, doesn't even take his foot off the gas pedal. His friend says to him, "What are you doing? We could have been killed."

And the driver says, "Don't worry, me and my brother do that all the time here. There's no traffic cops in town, and only about six or eight signal lights in the whole county. So we just blow through red lights like they're not even there."

So after about another mile or so, they come to another red light and the driver runs it again. The passenger is again a little concerned, but figures his buddy knows what he's doing.

Another mile down the highway and they come to another signal light, only this one's green. The driver comes to a complete stop, and just sits there. The Buddy says to him, "The lights green, what are you doing?"

And the driver says, "Well, my brother could be coming the other way."

I know, it's an old joke, and not a very good one. But it goes to illustrate a point. These two brothers might appear to have the system beat, but all they've really done is exchange one type of control for another.

They're not really any better off, even though they might think they are. And they'll certainly swear that they are if you ask them about it, and they'll brag about how much better off they are to anyone who will listen.

That's kind of how it is with the dice setters that I see on YouTube. They rattle on about how this particular die set works best, or this type of throwing technique works best, and how it will avoid the seven so much better than the way someone else is doing it. I just don't buy it.

In my opinion, and it is certainly the same opinion of casino management or they wouldn't allow dice setting to happen, once those dice hit the back wall the outcome becomes just as random as if you didn't set the dice to begin with.

The best way to win at craps is to bet on the bets that have the least house advantage and/or have a good chance of being rolled. That means always taking maximum, full odds on any pass line or come bets. Placing the six or eight are good bets also, as they come up almost as often as the seven does and the house advantage is not that great.

If you can afford to buy the 4 or the 10 (you will have to do it in $20 increments) those pay off at true odds, minus a 5% commission (collected only if you win), so those are good bets also. Otherwise, just place the 6 & 8,  make a line bet with full odds, and then a couple of come bets with full odds and sit back and relax.

Please stay away from all the prop bets, like the "hard ways", the horn, the world bet or the "C&E", no matter how much the dealers encourage you to place them. If you get a shooter who rolls 15 or 20 times before they 7  out, you can make a decent chunk of change.

If you want to set the dice, the way they show you to do it on YouTube, by all means go for it. I don't think it could hurt, I'm just not sure that it helps.  And don't get so enthusiastic after watching a few videos, that you end up spending more money than you can afford to lose on craps. Do not give in to envy or greed. 

That's all for now. Be sure and check out my recent article, called "Sports Betting: Advanced middle techniques for college and pro football wagering." It's all about a way to bet on sports with very little risk but high potential rewards. Click here to go to the eBay listing. It's only $4.99 plus fifty cents shipping.